Imported iron ore stocked in harbors remains at a high level, indicating the slump in demand for steel production in China, and the picture is unlikely to change this year, analysts said Wednesday.
By February 13, the stock of iron ore stored in 25 harbors in China hit
99.97 million tons, Xinhua-China Iron Ore Price Index showed Tuesday.
"It (the high stock level) is within expectations as domestic steel
producers have had low productivity for the past few months," said He
Rongliang, a steel market analyst at the Distribution Productivity
Promotion Center of China Commerce.
According to China Iron and Steel Association (CISA), the daily output
of crude steel by Chinese steel producers reached a two-year low in
mid-January at an estimated 1.67 million tons, a 1.3 percent dip
month-on-month.
Unlike previous years, "the stockpiling of iron ore by domestic steel
makers in preparation for March steel production didn't happen in the
winter of 2011 due to financing difficulties, slumping prices of steel
and the unclear picture for 2012," Hou Zhiyun, director of Beijing Lange
Steel Information Research Center, told the Global Times.
Due to lower demand as a result of the slowing economy and tight
liquidity, steel prices have been plunging since last October, leaving
steel mills with marginal profits or making losses. Major mill Angang
Steel, for instance, announced a net loss of some 2.2 billion yuan for
2011 due to rising raw material costs.
Given the annual increase in steel production in late March, demand for
steel and iron ore is expected to rise slightly. However, demand in the
long run, which depends more on macroeconomic policy, may not grow a
lot, said Hou. "Demand in the manufacturing sector will continue to slip
and exports of steel are expected to shrink," she noted.
CISA Chairman Zhu Jimin said last month that the possibility of losses
and meager profits for steel mills is likely to increase this year as
increased costs, falling demand and financing difficulties will continue
to weigh on the sector