2013 had crackling opening in China with steel leaping by 1% on the
first working day. Even though it was not a surprise since the tempo had
been set at the beginning of Q4 with the resounding economic pouring
in. Ensuing optimism on raw material market has already kindled the
biggest rally in iron ore price in an year with price ascending by over
20% within a month’s time. (steel pipe,steel bar)
Government drive to spruce up infrastructure through an ambitious USD
158 billion stimulus package has come to pass with consumption PMI
climbing 6.3% in December. Likewise new order index jumped 13.5
percentage points to 60 in December, a fresh high seen last year while
that for export orders increased just by 4.8 percentage points, which
suggested that domestic demand was significantly better than that
overseas. Reality sector too showed improved transactions giving a glint
to the fading glamour. Steel inventory in major cities remained below
12 million tonnes a low level.(steel pipe,steel bar)
Rampaging production has been the nemesis of market revival attempts in
the China for long but off late regulation has come to stay as they take
hit on the bottom line. Even though steel production 2012 is expected
to grow by 6% over 2011 it is significant descent from 2011. In
September-Nov, the daily crude steel output was above 1.9 -1.93 million
tonnes all the time, yet still a low level compared with the whole-year
production last year. National daily crude steel output came at
1.9-1.95million tonnes in December indicating production far cry from
the traditional nearly 2 million tonnes per day earlier.
(steel pipe,steel bar)
Effervescence in the market is unlikely to fade before the Lunar Holiday in early February.
Class | 31-Dec | 04-Jan | Change |
% |
CLPPI | 6452 | 6515 | 63 |
1.0% |
CFPPI | 6128 | 6178 | 50 |
0.8% |
CHISPI | 6268 | 6324 | 56 | 0.9% |
CLPPI - Chinese Long Product Price Index
CFPPI - Chinese Flat Product Price Index
CHISPI - Chinese Steel Price Index
Source - Strategic Research Institute