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Indian steel price remain reclusive INR collapse

Sep 05,2018
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Indian economic news is agog with sob story of INR having collapsed by 10% since May. Each day brings forth new lows and equally damning Indian Current account deficit. As the government grapples with catastrophic situation analyst churn out deluge of theories about the impact on trade and economy.

If Uttrakhand is reeling under natural disaster, Indian economy has been undergoing agony of plummeting economic indicators and debt burden. Rubbing salt to injury INR has plunged on rumblings QE3 roll back in USA. Greenback has dumped most of the currencies in emerging market.

To some extent it has aroused hopes of the domestic steel mills about import insulation in domestic market and enhanced export competitiveness.

If import offers of HRC at USD 550 per tonne fails to arouse interest in domestic buyers there certainly is a case for the mills to capitalize. However at the current domestic price level the parity is yet critically poised before the gates are closed.

However the moot question remains of demand which shows no sign of fanning. Export market is certainly an enticing proposition for Indian mills. Europe and Middle East are the natural targets. Recently flat market has shown some resistance with shortage in supply from Russian mills. Chinese and Indians will compete neck to neck in these markets. Indian mills have delivery time and freight advantage. Slothful economy in Europe and approaching Ramadan will keep the business cool for the time being.

Class 20-Jun 26-Jun Change
ILPPI 8718 8693 -25
IFPPI 8466 8449 -17
INDSPI 8588 8568 -20
steel tube steel pipe steel
ILPPI - Indian Long Product Price Index
IFPPI - Indian Flat Product Price Index
INDSPI - Indian Steel Price Index

Source - Strategic Research Institute
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