According to MEPS, US strip mill product transaction prices have firmed, following recent price hike announcements by all the major producers. The mills appear to be quite disciplined about the implementation of the increase. Moreover, delivery lead times are slowly extending and the threat of trade cases against overseas suppliers has made buyers very cautious regarding booking foreign material. Distributors, who still have plentiful stocks, continue to reduce inventories.
Canadian mill activity is still poor, with short delivery lead times. However, import volumes are drying up as domestic prices become more competitive. Market participants believe that transaction values have now reached the bottom. Service centre sales are steady, but sluggish for the time of year. The high priced stocks that all distributors are carrying are weighing heavily on resale values.
Cheap iron ore continues to undermine market prices in China. Demand from the property market, auto, shipbuilding and appliances is weakening. The People’s Bank of China recently made its third interest rate cut in six months in order to support the economy. Major steelmaker, Baosteel, has left its official ex-works list prices, for the June delivery of most flat products, unchanged from the previous month. June is typically a slow season for the Chinese steel sector.
In Japan, inventories of flat rolled products are still in surplus. Several large steelmakers will cut output, in the April/June period, to try to rectify the situation. In March, shipments of carbon steel finished products were at their highest level for two years but the rise was purely due to better export volumes. Domestic deliveries actually fell. Although overseas business is brisk, export prices continue to tumble. Import volumes, in March, fell 33 percent to the lowest point since September 2013, partly due to the weak yen, but also because of less healthy levels of consumption.
In Poland, strip mill product prices are stable. Buyers do not believe that significant increases are possible in the present climate. Consumption is reasonable but imports continue to take up a large share of the market. Czech/Slovak transaction values have softened slightly, despite improvements in the economies of both countries. Market sentiment has certainly revived amongst many Czech manufacturing companies due to the weakness of the currency, cheap energy and recovering domestic demand. There is less competition from Ukrainian steel mills as their output has been curtailed by the political crisis in that country.
Flat
product numbers are generally unchanged in Western Europe, although we
can detect a little negative pressure in certain countries. Activity is
picking up, albeit slowly, as the economic climate improves. Some
steelmakers have decent order books. However, their raw material costs
remain low, providing them with limited backing to lift selling prices.
Many third country producers continue to reduce flat product price
quotations. Buyers are beginning to show more interest, although, much
of this material would be arriving in the holiday period.